Investing Checklist
There are many great ideas out there. A quick way to filter them is to use a list of clearly defined traits for great companies, paired with an LLM to help identify whether an investment deserves attention.
This is the first layer of the vetting process: a guard at the door of a jewellery store, deciding whether a visitor is a potential client or a robber.
Moat & Durability
- Does the company have a strong moat?
- Is the moat sustainable for decades?
- Is the product or service essential?
- Can customers easily switch away?
- Does the company have pricing power?
- Can it raise prices above inflation?
- Is the business hard to replicate?
- Does the company benefit from scale?
- Does it have network effects?
- Does it have a strong installed base?
- Are its physical assets irreplaceable?
- Are its intangible assets durable?
- Does the brand truly matter?
- Does it have multiple layers of protection?
Industry & Demand
- Is the industry structurally attractive?
- Is competition rational or destructive?
- Is demand resilient, not discretionary?
- Is the company exposed to substitution risk?
- Is the business vulnerable to AI or technological disruption?
- Is regulation a risk or an advantage?
- Does regulation still allow attractive returns?
- Is the company in an industry worth avoiding?
- Would customers still need this product in a downturn?
- Would the company remain relevant despite technology shifts?
Growth & Unit Economics
- Does growth come with barriers to entry?
- Is growth profitable, not just fast?
- Are returns high because of real advantages?
- Does the company earn high ROIC?
- Does it earn high ROIIC?
- Are incremental returns better than competitors?
- Can it reinvest at high returns?
- Is capital deployment scalable?
- Is growth repeatable?
- Does growth require too much capital?
- Is the spread over the cost of capital attractive?
- Are returns driven by inflation or real productivity?
Revenue & Cash Flow
- Does it have recurring revenue?
- Is the recurring revenue predictable?
- Does the business convert profits into cash?
- Does it generate excess cash?
- Can cash flows be projected with confidence?
- Are cash flows received early enough to reduce risk?
Management & Accounting
- Is excess cash used wisely?
- Are buybacks value-accretive?
- Are dividends the best use of cash?
- Is management disciplined with capital allocation?
- Does management understand ROIIC?
- Has management avoided poor acquisitions?
- Does management avoid hoarding cash?
- Does management communicate honestly?
- Are adjusted numbers used reasonably?
- Are bad results being hidden through adjustments?
- Are one-time costs truly one-time?
- Is the company's accounting clear?
Balance Sheet & Cyclicality
- Is the balance sheet strong?
- Is leverage manageable?
- Is the business dependent on macro tailwinds?
- Can the company control its own destiny?
- Does the company perform well across cycles?
- Can it survive higher interest rates?
- Are recent margins sustainable?
- Has inflation temporarily inflated results?
Valuation & Expected Return
- Is the valuation based on realistic assumptions?
- Does the DCF depend too much on distant cash flows?
- Is the business likely to remain good for 10, 20, or 30 years?
- Is the market underestimating duration?
- Is the company slightly expensive but still a great compounder?
- Would a small overpayment be overcome by compounding?
- Is the expected return still attractive from today's price?
- Is there a margin of safety?
- Is the IRR attractive?
- Is the risk permanent capital loss or just short-term volatility?
Monitoring & Sell Discipline
- Is the business better than the index on quality and risk?
- Is underperformance due to fundamentals or valuation?
- Has the investment case weakened?
- Has the moat weakened?
- Has the industry structure changed?
- Has competition become more aggressive?
- Has disruption risk increased?
- Would you buy more today?
- Are you anchored to an old opinion?
- Should you change your mind?
- Is selling based on lower conviction or short-term price movement?
Portfolio & Temperament
- Is the company still one of your best ideas?
- Does the position size match your conviction?
- Do you understand the business deeply enough to concentrate?
- Are you confusing diversification with safety?
- Are you adding too many average ideas?
- Are you chasing novelty?
- Are you focusing on the few things that matter?
- Are you ignoring market noise?
- Are you patient enough for compounding to work?
- Is this a company you would want to own for many years?
- Is the business exceptional, not merely good?
- Is time an asset or liability for this company?
- Are you buying a steady winner or an average business?
- Do you know why the company wins?
- Can you clearly explain why the advantage will last?
- Would a rational competitor struggle to attack this business?
- Do you truly know what you are doing?